Bác có giác quan thứ 6 nhạy bén, vậy bác đoán thử giá vàng, và đồng euro ngay mai coi sao? hy vọng sẽ linh, v́ lúc này chả ai đoán ra được....Tôi nghĩ thằng vang và euro cả hai sẽ lên vào ngày mai...c̣n bác đoán ra sao?Originally Posted by Dân Ngu
Bác có giác quan thứ 6 nhạy bén, vậy bác đoán thử giá vàng, và đồng euro ngay mai coi sao? hy vọng sẽ linh, v́ lúc này chả ai đoán ra được....Tôi nghĩ thằng vang và euro cả hai sẽ lên vào ngày mai...c̣n bác đoán ra sao?
Euro sẽ giảm, vàng sẽ tăng tiếp như nhẹ nhàng, chạm 1670 sẽ bật lại.
EURUSD – Forex trading crowds turned aggressively net-long the Euro/US Dollar when it traded below $1.3000 and gave signal that the pair could continue its declines. Yet a more recent moderation in sentiment suggests that the pace of declines may slow. In fact, a bigger shift in sentiment would favor an important Euro reversal higher.
Tin mấy thằng này có ngày chết toi, báo chí đôi khi nói láo giúp mấy thằng nhà giầu, đọc chơi cho vui thôi.
Ai mà chả có giác quan này, do tham sân si che hết nên mới hiện ra khôn dại khác nhau đó thôi.
Sương mù dày đặc th́ không thể thấy đường, nước đục không thể nh́n thấy cá... tâm hồn cũng vậy đâu khác ǵ.
.................... ................
Giác quan thứ sáu mà các loài vật có c̣n siêu hơn cả con người cùng máy móc hiện đại đấy.
Chuồn chuồn bay thấp th́ mưa
Bay cao th́ nắng bay vừa th́ râm
Kiến thường t́m nơi cao để ẩn nấp ta phải biết là nước sẽ dâng lên bao nhiêu, cóc di cư ào ạt báo hiệu động đất Tứ Xuyên...
Do nghiệp lực mà cái giác quan này nó hiện ra như thế nào, đàn bà đôi khi không cần đi ŕnh nhưng cũng biết ông xă đi ăn chả ăn nem, biết là như vậy nhưng không có bằng chứng hay bắt được quả tang th́ đành chịu hậm hực một ḿnh và thường hay than văn cùng đồng nghiệp để giải tỏa tâm hồn.
Xin lỗi chị em nhé, tôi nói thế là ví dụ sinh động thôi, không nói xấu các bà đâu :p.
Im lặng quá nhỉ, quân ta chắc thắng to rồi c̣n ǵ, EUR c̣n sụt nữa cứ yên chí mà ngồi uống cà phê và thưởng thức thành quả thắng lợi, xin chúc mừng bà con.
Big money hôm nay nhá vài cú nhẹ nhàng đánh lên để lừa mấy con gà gô, Hihi.
Báo chí ăn tiền của mấy bọn nhà giầu nên phao tin đồn nhảm làm cho tâm trí nhà đầu tư rối như tơ ṿ, kết quả là bọn chúng hốt bạc ngon ơ.
Bác DN có thể chỉ ra: Làm sao để biết" Big money hôm nay nhá vài cú nhẹ nhàng đánh lên để lừa mấy con gà gô" cho Kitty học được không?
Bác bói đồng Euro đúng, c̣n vàng th́ sai...Ít ǵ cũng đúng phân nửa, giác quan thứ 8?
Warren Buffett is the world's third richest man with an estimated fortune of over $52bn.
But unlike the other billionaires that feature in Forbes' list of the 10 richest people in the world, Buffett doesn't have a retail empire, an oil well or a brain for computing to show for it - simply a lot of share certificates.
The 81-year-old made his money through identifying companies that he believed were worth more than their market value, investing in them and holding that investment for the long-term. And it's certainly paid off.
Class A shares in his company Berkshire Hathaway were $15 when he first took over in 1965 - they were valued at $103,500 per share by the end of August 2011.
Keep it simple: Investing the Warren Buffett way
It sounds remarkably simple, but given the ups and downs of the stock market, it takes a high level of discipline, nerve and conviction in your decisions.
Although Buffett has never written a book detailing his investment style (there was one authorised biography), much can be gleaned from the annual letter he sends to Berkshire shareholders.
He doesn't view the purchase of shares in a company as buying a stake in that business, but believes that the investor should feel that they are actually buying that business outright. Because of that he looks for quality management, a durable competitive edge and low capital expenditure.
Companies tend to have a strong brand name - Coca Cola, McDonalds and Gillette feature in his holdings - and a good history of solid earnings growth. We run through how Buffett invests his money.
'Rule No.1: Never lose money. Rule No.2: Never forget rule No.1.'
Value investing
'It's far better to buy a wonderful company at a fair price than a fair company at a wonderful price.'
The basic premise of Buffett's investing style is buying something for less than it's actually worth. This sounds simple enough, but unearthing these stocks and prove difficult and it's easy to mistake a company that is unloved by the market because nobody has spotted its opportunity with one that is simply a dog. For that reason, Buffett applies some of the measures that are listed below.
Strong profitability
'If a business does well, the stock eventually follows.'
Buffett prefers to invest in companies with a proven level of strong profitability, giving more credence to this than what analysts predict will happen in the future. He looks at a number of measures to assess a business's profitability, including return on equity (ROE), return on invested capital (ROIC) and a company's profit margin.
ROE is a measure of the rate at which shareholders are earning income on their shares and Buffett uses this measure to see how well a company is performing compared to other businesses operating in the same sector. You can calculate the ROE by dividing the company's net income by the shareholder's equity. It is believed that Buffett prefers a company that has an ROE in excess of 15%. He also looks for companies with above average profit margins, which can be calculated by dividing net income by net sales. The higher the ratio, the more profitable the company based on its level of sales.
Not too much in debt
'Should you find yourself in a chronically leaking boat, energy devoted to changing vessels is likely to be more productive than energy devoted to patching leaks.'
However, a company with a high ROE could be being fuelled by substantial levels of debt, which Buffett is keen to avoid. For this reason he also takes into accounted the ROIC. This helps take debt out of the equation by adding it back to the shareholder equity before doing the calculation. This can be calculated by dividing a company's total liabilities by its shareholder equity - the higher the ratio, the higher the level of debt the company is using to fuel its growth.
He doesn't like over-indebted companies, as he says each year in his Berkshire Hathaway letters, because they could become vulnerable in a credit squeeze or when interest rates are rising, as they have been doing recently.
Understanding the business
'Risk comes from not knowing what you're doing.'
Buffett will only invest in businesses he can understand and analyse, rejecting those that operate in complicated markets or where he is unsure of their operating model. He describes this as his 'circle of competence'. He has largely ignored the technology sector because he claims not to fully understand their business, but prefers retailing, food and insurance stocks.
Strong management
'It's better to hang out with people better than you, ... Pick out associates whose behaviour is better than yours and you'll drift in that direction.'
Buffett places great emphasis on the quality of a company's management. According to Robert Hagstrom, author of 'The Warren Buffett Way', he asks three questions of a company's management team - are they rational, do they admit to mistakes and do they resist the institutional imperative? He takes a dim view of management teams that simply follow the crowd, copying the lead of competitors. He also likes companies to have been floated for a 10-year period before investing, but says he never interferes with the running of a company.
The 'Moat'
'Your premium brand had better be delivering something special, or it's not going to get the business.'
Buffett coined the phrase 'moat' to refer to the competitive advantage or unique proposition that gives a business protection against their competitors. He says those businesses that have a wider moat will offer more protection to the main core business, which he refers to as the castle. This could be geographical, entry costs, a strong brand name or owning a particular patent. Buffett tends to pick companies that offer strong brand names, even though there is a lot of competition in their particular markets. Examples include MacDonalds, Coca-Cola and Gillette.
Moats are important to investors because if a business develops a successful product it is likely to be aped by competitors. How effecitively it can survive is largely determined by how its product differs from the others in the market and why consumers will keep coming back.
Long-term hold
'Our favourite holding period is forever.'
When Buffett buys a stock he buys it with the view of holding it for life. He holds a number of permanent stocks in his portfolio, including Coca-Cola, GEICO and Washington Post, which he claims he'll not sell even if they appear to be significantly overpriced. This approach has led to accusations that his portfolio has a number of 'tired' stocks in it, but Buffett thinks investors are too quick to buy and sell.
Don't rush
'You do things when the opportunities come along. I've had periods in my life when I've had a bundle of ideas come along, and I've had long dry spells. If I get an idea next week, I'll do something. If not, I won't do a damn thing.'
Boredom can cause rash buying decisions, forcing the investor to buy stock at the wrong time. Buffett has proved to be a master at the waiting game, preferring to sit on his cash rather than buy into a company just for the sake of it. He understands markets rise and fall and would prefer to wait until he feels a stock is cheap enough to buy. Buffett says investors would be better off if they could only invest a limited number of times, so they would make sure they were making the right investment.
Nguồn: thisismoney.co.uk
Trong cờ bạc,cộng lại tất cả những ngày thắng được nhiều tiền nhất vẫn sẽ không đủ bù đắp lại những lần thua trước đó.Và Ông Buffett có dạy :
"In a bull market, one must avoid the error of the preening duck that quacks boastfully after a torrential rainstorm, thinking that its paddling skills have caused it to rise in the world. A right-thinking duck would instead compare its position after the downpour to that of the other ducks on the pond."
Và chúng ta sẽ được chứng kiến:
"You only find out who is swimming naked when the tide goes out."
There are currently 5 users browsing this thread. (0 members and 5 guests)
Posting Permissions
Reply With Quote
Bookmarks