Originally Posted by
Tui-ne
Obama sẽ thắng cử kỳ hai , dựa theo quan sát t́nh h́nh , v́ thế giới hơi căng , Iran và Trung cộng , cũng như Ấn độ .
4 nước á châu Trung cộng , ấn độ , nhật bản và đại hàn cảm thấy khó chịu v́ Mỹ khuyên không nhập cảng dầu Iran.
Trung Cộng ra mặt chống , Ấn độ th́ ầm ừ khồng nói những vẫn nhập cảng , Nhật Bản hứa những chưa làm , Đại hàn tuyên bố ủng hộ Mỹ sẽ giảm nhập cảng , nhưng chưa làm và không nói rơ giảm bao nhiêu phần trăm . Đại Hàn có thể giảm vài phần trăm cho vui ḷng Mỹ , nhưng không ngưng nhập dầu của Iran hoàn toàn .
Dân Mỹ không thích thay ngựa giữa gịng , Obam đang làm đúng , rút quân tạo việc làm cho bên Quốc Pḥng , giải tỏa lệnh cấm bán F35 cho thế giới , tạo công ăn việc làm .
//////////////////////////////////////////////////
Iran oil sanctions divide Asia's four largest economies
By Puneet Pal Singh Business Reporter, BBC News, Singapore
Mr Geithner visited China and Japan in a bid to drum up support for sanctions against Iran
Continue reading the main story
Related Stories
• China fury at US sanction on firm
• Japan 'to cut Iran oil imports'
• Iran and the undeclared campaign
Oil has been one of the most politically sensitive commodities over the years. And now Asia's four largest economies are finding out how difficult it is to balance political will with economic reality.
As the US and European Union move to cut Iran's oil exports, China, Japan, India and South Korea are having to tread the fine line between international relations and national needs.
China, Asia's largest and the world's second-largest economy, is yet to give any hint if it will reduce its imports from Iran, despite a visit by the US Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner to Beijing to discuss the issue.
The signals coming out of India indicate it is keen to continue its relationship with Tehran.
On the other hand, Japan says it will take steps to reduce its reliance on Iranian oil. While South Korea, Asia's fourth-largest economy, is likely to follow suit, despite not having committed to anything as yet.
The difference in their approaches and their respective stands, are likely to have a bearing not just on the oil market but also on the success of the embargoes and their impact on Asia.
"It will really depend on individual countries and how they embrace the European and and the US sanctions," Amrita Sen of Barclays Capital tells the BBC.
'Complex situation'
The main focus is likely to be the stand that China takes on the issue. Beijing is the largest importer of Iranian oil in Asia, accounting for almost 20% of all shipments from Tehran.
Continue reading the main story
“Start Quote
We are getting to a point where China is saying enough is enough, we are not going to be a part of this”
Tony Regan Tri-Zen
Any reduction in that amount is likely to hurt Iran. However, analysts say there is little chance of China making any such move.
"It is a complex situation as there is politics and economics involved," says Stephen Joske of the Economist Intelligence Unit.
"As far as politics is concerned, it was clear during the Arab Spring that China maintains a status quo against the governments in the region," he adds.
"On the economic front, China is far more reliant on imported oil than it has ever been in the past."
China's rapid growth in recent years has seen a surge in demand for oil in the country. Goldman Sachs has forecast that it will become the world's largest importer of oil within the next one-and-a-half years.
It currently imports almost 11% of its oil from Iran and analysts say given the huge domestic demand, it is unlikely that China will reduce the amount.
At the same time, China's political equation with the US may also play a part. Analysts say that Beijing is becoming increasingly wary of being told by the US on how to shape its policies.
"We are getting to a point where China is saying enough is enough, we are not going to be a part of this," says Tony Regan of business consultancy firm Tri-Zen.
'Securing future supplies'
India is also a major importer of Iranian oil in Asia and unlike China, it has far more cordial and closer political relations with the US.
Bookmarks